Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
34°C 34%
35°C 23%
36°C or higher 22%
33°C 13%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
34%
35°C
23%
36°C or higher
22%
34°C 34%
35°C 23%
36°C or higher 22%
33°C 13%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
$177 Vol.
1%
27°C
$366 Vol.
1%
28°C
$60 Vol.
1%
29°C
$60 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$100 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$5 Vol.
34%
35°C
$0 Vol.
23%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$778Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$778Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCForecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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