Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, reinforced by China Meteorological Administration guidance, positions Shanghai’s May 16 maximum temperature at 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow. This setup has kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 25–27°C, with Pudong International Airport observations confirming yesterday’s peak around 24°C amid clearing skies. Sea-breeze incursions off the East China Sea and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce the primary uncertainty, though model runs show minimal spread around the 25–26°C band. Final hourly readings at the official station will resolve the market this evening; only an unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid clearing could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or 27°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$137,976 Vol.
$137,976 Vol.
May 16, 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$137,976 Vol.
$137,976 Vol.
May 16, 2026
25°C
$41,018 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13,441 Vol.
100%
27°C
$13,090 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$14,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,483 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,803 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,876 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, reinforced by China Meteorological Administration guidance, positions Shanghai’s May 16 maximum temperature at 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow. This setup has kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 25–27°C, with Pudong International Airport observations confirming yesterday’s peak around 24°C amid clearing skies. Sea-breeze incursions off the East China Sea and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce the primary uncertainty, though model runs show minimal spread around the 25–26°C band. Final hourly readings at the official station will resolve the market this evening; only an unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid clearing could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$137,976Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Jendela sengketa
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, reinforced by China Meteorological Administration guidance, positions Shanghai’s May 16 maximum temperature at 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow. This setup has kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 25–27°C, with Pudong International Airport observations confirming yesterday’s peak around 24°C amid clearing skies. Sea-breeze incursions off the East China Sea and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce the primary uncertainty, though model runs show minimal spread around the 25–26°C band. Final hourly readings at the official station will resolve the market this evening; only an unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid clearing could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$137,976Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Jendela sengketa
Final
Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, reinforced by China Meteorological Administration guidance, positions Shanghai’s May 16 maximum temperature at 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow. This setup has kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 25–27°C, with Pudong International Airport observations confirming yesterday’s peak around 24°C amid clearing skies. Sea-breeze incursions off the East China Sea and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce the primary uncertainty, though model runs show minimal spread around the 25–26°C band. Final hourly readings at the official station will resolve the market this evening; only an unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or rapid clearing could realistically shift the outcome to 25°C or 27°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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