Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum temperature most likely settling near 26–27°C under a mix of partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that moderates daytime heating. This narrow spread aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical observations from the China Meteorological Administration record average daily highs between 24°C and 26°C, yet subtle differences in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the peak by one degree. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because further model runs expected overnight and the official China Meteorological Administration afternoon guidance will clarify whether increased cloud cover or a brief ridge of high pressure pushes readings toward 28°C or holds them at 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 33%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 8%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 8%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$204 Vol.
1%
23°C
$636 Vol.
2%
24°C
$498 Vol.
3%
25°C
$645 Vol.
8%
26°C
$379 Vol.
28%
27°C
$152 Vol.
33%
28°C
$155 Vol.
20%
29°C
$105 Vol.
7%
30°C
$38 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$284 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum temperature most likely settling near 26–27°C under a mix of partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that moderates daytime heating. This narrow spread aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical observations from the China Meteorological Administration record average daily highs between 24°C and 26°C, yet subtle differences in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the peak by one degree. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because further model runs expected overnight and the official China Meteorological Administration afternoon guidance will clarify whether increased cloud cover or a brief ridge of high pressure pushes readings toward 28°C or holds them at 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,908Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum temperature most likely settling near 26–27°C under a mix of partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that moderates daytime heating. This narrow spread aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical observations from the China Meteorological Administration record average daily highs between 24°C and 26°C, yet subtle differences in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the peak by one degree. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because further model runs expected overnight and the official China Meteorological Administration afternoon guidance will clarify whether increased cloud cover or a brief ridge of high pressure pushes readings toward 28°C or holds them at 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,908Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum temperature most likely settling near 26–27°C under a mix of partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that moderates daytime heating. This narrow spread aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical observations from the China Meteorological Administration record average daily highs between 24°C and 26°C, yet subtle differences in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the peak by one degree. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because further model runs expected overnight and the official China Meteorological Administration afternoon guidance will clarify whether increased cloud cover or a brief ridge of high pressure pushes readings toward 28°C or holds them at 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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