Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris's highest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 14–16°C. A persistent cool Atlantic air mass and extensive cloud cover have capped recent highs below seasonal averages of 18–19°C, following a week of frequent showers and northerly winds that suppressed warming through May 11–14. Model runs indicate modest weekend improvement with fewer showers but limited sunshine, constraining peak heating to midday hours under overcast conditions. New short-range updates from national forecasters tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearing emerges, though current guidance emphasizes inherent forecast uncertainty in spring variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 16?
15°C 37%
14°C 25%
16°C 25%
17°C 10%
BARU
$10,942 Vol.
BARU
$10,942 Vol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
25%
15°C
37%
16°C
25%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 37%
14°C 25%
16°C 25%
17°C 10%
BARU
$10,942 Vol.
BARU
$10,942 Vol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
$6,037 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$530 Vol.
1%
13°C
$551 Vol.
4%
14°C
$625 Vol.
25%
15°C
$523 Vol.
37%
16°C
$836 Vol.
25%
17°C
$367 Vol.
10%
18°C
$453 Vol.
1%
19°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris's highest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 14–16°C. A persistent cool Atlantic air mass and extensive cloud cover have capped recent highs below seasonal averages of 18–19°C, following a week of frequent showers and northerly winds that suppressed warming through May 11–14. Model runs indicate modest weekend improvement with fewer showers but limited sunshine, constraining peak heating to midday hours under overcast conditions. New short-range updates from national forecasters tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearing emerges, though current guidance emphasizes inherent forecast uncertainty in spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,942Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris's highest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 14–16°C. A persistent cool Atlantic air mass and extensive cloud cover have capped recent highs below seasonal averages of 18–19°C, following a week of frequent showers and northerly winds that suppressed warming through May 11–14. Model runs indicate modest weekend improvement with fewer showers but limited sunshine, constraining peak heating to midday hours under overcast conditions. New short-range updates from national forecasters tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearing emerges, though current guidance emphasizes inherent forecast uncertainty in spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,942Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris's highest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 14–16°C. A persistent cool Atlantic air mass and extensive cloud cover have capped recent highs below seasonal averages of 18–19°C, following a week of frequent showers and northerly winds that suppressed warming through May 11–14. Model runs indicate modest weekend improvement with fewer showers but limited sunshine, constraining peak heating to midday hours under overcast conditions. New short-range updates from national forecasters tomorrow could shift probabilities if clearing emerges, though current guidance emphasizes inherent forecast uncertainty in spring variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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