India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts, issued recently, project a maximum temperature of around 41°C for Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, zero rainfall, and light southeasterly winds of 7-13 km/h, driving trader consensus to 75.5% implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with a warming trend from 38.1°C recorded on May 13 amid persistent dry pre-monsoon conditions and low evening humidity near 31-32%, enhancing daytime solar heating despite no active heatwave designation. Historical May averages hover near 39°C, with records up to 46.5°C, but current model runs show limited intensification potential. Updated IMD guidance expected May 15 could refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 94%
42°C 5%
43°C 1.4%
45°C <1%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
94%
42°C
5%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 94%
42°C 5%
43°C 1.4%
45°C <1%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
$709 Vol.
94%
42°C
$679 Vol.
5%
43°C
$336 Vol.
1%
44°C
$163 Vol.
1%
45°C
$675 Vol.
1%
46°C
$1,008 Vol.
1%
47°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$666 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$786 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts, issued recently, project a maximum temperature of around 41°C for Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, zero rainfall, and light southeasterly winds of 7-13 km/h, driving trader consensus to 75.5% implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with a warming trend from 38.1°C recorded on May 13 amid persistent dry pre-monsoon conditions and low evening humidity near 31-32%, enhancing daytime solar heating despite no active heatwave designation. Historical May averages hover near 39°C, with records up to 46.5°C, but current model runs show limited intensification potential. Updated IMD guidance expected May 15 could refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$6,242Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts, issued recently, project a maximum temperature of around 41°C for Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, zero rainfall, and light southeasterly winds of 7-13 km/h, driving trader consensus to 75.5% implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with a warming trend from 38.1°C recorded on May 13 amid persistent dry pre-monsoon conditions and low evening humidity near 31-32%, enhancing daytime solar heating despite no active heatwave designation. Historical May averages hover near 39°C, with records up to 46.5°C, but current model runs show limited intensification potential. Updated IMD guidance expected May 15 could refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,242Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts, issued recently, project a maximum temperature of around 41°C for Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, zero rainfall, and light southeasterly winds of 7-13 km/h, driving trader consensus to 75.5% implied probability for 41°C or below. This aligns with a warming trend from 38.1°C recorded on May 13 amid persistent dry pre-monsoon conditions and low evening humidity near 31-32%, enhancing daytime solar heating despite no active heatwave designation. Historical May averages hover near 39°C, with records up to 46.5°C, but current model runs show limited intensification potential. Updated IMD guidance expected May 15 could refine these market-implied odds amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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