Latest ARPA Lombardia and Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare forecasts, aligned with ECMWF ensembles, project Milan's highest temperature on May 16 at 20-22°C amid a lingering Atlantic perturbation bringing morning showers and partial cloud cover, driving closely matched trader sentiment with 21°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon clearing speed and low-level cloud persistence, which could cap peaks at 20°C under prolonged overcast skies or allow 22°C with enhanced solar heating and light westerly winds promoting boundary layer mixing. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's cooler, showery conditions transitioning to variable skies, while climatological May averages near 23°C provide upside potential. Updated evening observations from Milano Linate will refine trajectories before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 16?
21°C 39%
20°C 28%
22°C 19%
19°C 5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
28%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 39%
20°C 28%
22°C 19%
19°C 5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
28%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ARPA Lombardia and Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare forecasts, aligned with ECMWF ensembles, project Milan's highest temperature on May 16 at 20-22°C amid a lingering Atlantic perturbation bringing morning showers and partial cloud cover, driving closely matched trader sentiment with 21°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon clearing speed and low-level cloud persistence, which could cap peaks at 20°C under prolonged overcast skies or allow 22°C with enhanced solar heating and light westerly winds promoting boundary layer mixing. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's cooler, showery conditions transitioning to variable skies, while climatological May averages near 23°C provide upside potential. Updated evening observations from Milano Linate will refine trajectories before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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