National Weather Service guidance shows a cold front advancing across the central Rockies this weekend, bringing a sharp drop in temperatures to Denver on May 17 with an expected daily high in the mid-to-upper 60s under increasing cloud cover and northerly flow. This positions the market-implied probability above 87 percent for a peak of 71°F or lower, consistent with model consensus from the GFS and NAM ensembles projecting 500-mb heights falling 40–60 meters behind the front and reduced insolation at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. Recent warming earlier in the week has given way to this rapid cooling, with historical May analogs indicating such post-frontal days rarely exceed 70°F when upslope winds and moisture return. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any shifts in the surface pressure gradient for signs of warmer downslope winds that could push readings into the low 70s.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 88%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 1.6%
76-77°F <1%
$13,722 Vol.
$13,722 Vol.
71°F or below
88%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 88%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 1.6%
76-77°F <1%
$13,722 Vol.
$13,722 Vol.
71°F or below
88%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service guidance shows a cold front advancing across the central Rockies this weekend, bringing a sharp drop in temperatures to Denver on May 17 with an expected daily high in the mid-to-upper 60s under increasing cloud cover and northerly flow. This positions the market-implied probability above 87 percent for a peak of 71°F or lower, consistent with model consensus from the GFS and NAM ensembles projecting 500-mb heights falling 40–60 meters behind the front and reduced insolation at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. Recent warming earlier in the week has given way to this rapid cooling, with historical May analogs indicating such post-frontal days rarely exceed 70°F when upslope winds and moisture return. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any shifts in the surface pressure gradient for signs of warmer downslope winds that could push readings into the low 70s.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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