Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight low on May 19 settling near 10–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern, consistent with the warmer-than-average spring across northwest Europe, has nudged trader consensus toward these two outcomes, each now at 18.5 %. Historical mid-May minima average 7–9 °C, yet current guidance keeps the floor elevated by suppressing clear-night temperature drops. Cloud thickness and wind speed remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low; any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward 9 °C, while persistent cloud and breeze would lock values closer to 12 °C. Next 48-hour model updates will clarify the balance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on May 19?
Lowest temperature in London on May 19?
11°C 28%
12°C 24%
13°C 19%
10°C 17%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
19%
10°C
14%
11°C
22%
12°C
24%
13°C
19%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
5%
11°C 28%
12°C 24%
13°C 19%
10°C 17%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
6°C
$10 Vol.
1%
7°C
$62 Vol.
4%
8°C
$25 Vol.
4%
9°C
$70 Vol.
19%
10°C
$14 Vol.
14%
11°C
$4 Vol.
22%
12°C
$5 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$12 Vol.
10%
15°C or higher
$18 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight low on May 19 settling near 10–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern, consistent with the warmer-than-average spring across northwest Europe, has nudged trader consensus toward these two outcomes, each now at 18.5 %. Historical mid-May minima average 7–9 °C, yet current guidance keeps the floor elevated by suppressing clear-night temperature drops. Cloud thickness and wind speed remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low; any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward 9 °C, while persistent cloud and breeze would lock values closer to 12 °C. Next 48-hour model updates will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$230Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight low on May 19 settling near 10–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern, consistent with the warmer-than-average spring across northwest Europe, has nudged trader consensus toward these two outcomes, each now at 18.5 %. Historical mid-May minima average 7–9 °C, yet current guidance keeps the floor elevated by suppressing clear-night temperature drops. Cloud thickness and wind speed remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low; any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward 9 °C, while persistent cloud and breeze would lock values closer to 12 °C. Next 48-hour model updates will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$230Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCLatest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight low on May 19 settling near 10–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a light southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This pattern, consistent with the warmer-than-average spring across northwest Europe, has nudged trader consensus toward these two outcomes, each now at 18.5 %. Historical mid-May minima average 7–9 °C, yet current guidance keeps the floor elevated by suppressing clear-night temperature drops. Cloud thickness and wind speed remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded low; any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward 9 °C, while persistent cloud and breeze would lock values closer to 12 °C. Next 48-hour model updates will clarify the balance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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