Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 16–17°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project overnight lows in the mid-teens amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and radiative cooling. This setup favors cooler mornings compared to early May's warmer anomalies, where recent highs exceeded 26°C amid light southerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud development overnight, which could limit cooling to 17–18°C, versus calm winds and dry air pushing toward 15–16°C; urban heat island effects in Seoul add ~1–2°C baseline. New KMA updates and model runs expected daily through May 18 will refine this tight race, given typical 2–3°C uncertainty at four-day range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 19?
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
15°C 12%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
13°C or below
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
15°C 12%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
13°C or below
$63 Vol.
5%
14°C
$9 Vol.
2%
15°C
$6 Vol.
12%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$60 Vol.
4%
20°C
$60 Vol.
3%
21°C
$65 Vol.
1%
22°C
$71 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 16–17°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project overnight lows in the mid-teens amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and radiative cooling. This setup favors cooler mornings compared to early May's warmer anomalies, where recent highs exceeded 26°C amid light southerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud development overnight, which could limit cooling to 17–18°C, versus calm winds and dry air pushing toward 15–16°C; urban heat island effects in Seoul add ~1–2°C baseline. New KMA updates and model runs expected daily through May 18 will refine this tight race, given typical 2–3°C uncertainty at four-day range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$357Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 16–17°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project overnight lows in the mid-teens amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and radiative cooling. This setup favors cooler mornings compared to early May's warmer anomalies, where recent highs exceeded 26°C amid light southerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud development overnight, which could limit cooling to 17–18°C, versus calm winds and dry air pushing toward 15–16°C; urban heat island effects in Seoul add ~1–2°C baseline. New KMA updates and model runs expected daily through May 18 will refine this tight race, given typical 2–3°C uncertainty at four-day range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$357Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 16–17°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project overnight lows in the mid-teens amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and radiative cooling. This setup favors cooler mornings compared to early May's warmer anomalies, where recent highs exceeded 26°C amid light southerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud development overnight, which could limit cooling to 17–18°C, versus calm winds and dry air pushing toward 15–16°C; urban heat island effects in Seoul add ~1–2°C baseline. New KMA updates and model runs expected daily through May 18 will refine this tight race, given typical 2–3°C uncertainty at four-day range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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