Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance highlights a persistent moderate onshore flow combined with a lingering marine layer as the dominant factors capping the highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 17 near 68–70 °F. This pattern advects cooler, moister air from the Pacific, suppressing daytime heating and preventing significant warming despite seasonal norms around 74 °F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 68–69 °F and 27% for 70–71 °F, aligns with these conditions, while lower probabilities for 72 °F or higher acknowledge limited upside if the marine influence weakens. The market resolves on the official Los Angeles International Airport observation, with no major forecast shifts expected before tomorrow’s data release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 17?
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 22%
72-73°F 3.8%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 22%
72-73°F 3.8%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance highlights a persistent moderate onshore flow combined with a lingering marine layer as the dominant factors capping the highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 17 near 68–70 °F. This pattern advects cooler, moister air from the Pacific, suppressing daytime heating and preventing significant warming despite seasonal norms around 74 °F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 68–69 °F and 27% for 70–71 °F, aligns with these conditions, while lower probabilities for 72 °F or higher acknowledge limited upside if the marine influence weakens. The market resolves on the official Los Angeles International Airport observation, with no major forecast shifts expected before tomorrow’s data release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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