Latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 15°C in Buenos Aires on May 16, positioning this as the leading market outcome with 38% implied probability amid a cool autumn air mass and moderate southerly winds that limit surface heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows tight clustering between 14–16°C, consistent with post-frontal stabilization and reduced solar insolation typical for mid-May, when climatological highs average 18–19°C. This cooling trend follows recent warmer readings near 22°C earlier in the week, with resolution tied to official observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport through the afternoon peak. Variable cloud cover introduces 1–2°C uncertainty, keeping nearby outcomes at 14°C (26.5%) and 16°C (21.0%) as viable alternatives until final hourly updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
15°C 37%
14°C 28%
16°C 21%
13°C 10.5%
$15,846 Vol.
$15,846 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
37%
16°C
21%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 37%
14°C 28%
16°C 21%
13°C 10.5%
$15,846 Vol.
$15,846 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
37%
16°C
21%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 15°C in Buenos Aires on May 16, positioning this as the leading market outcome with 38% implied probability amid a cool autumn air mass and moderate southerly winds that limit surface heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows tight clustering between 14–16°C, consistent with post-frontal stabilization and reduced solar insolation typical for mid-May, when climatological highs average 18–19°C. This cooling trend follows recent warmer readings near 22°C earlier in the week, with resolution tied to official observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport through the afternoon peak. Variable cloud cover introduces 1–2°C uncertainty, keeping nearby outcomes at 14°C (26.5%) and 16°C (21.0%) as viable alternatives until final hourly updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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