Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, place the expected daytime maximum at Ministro Pistarini International Airport near 14–15 °C for May 17. A lingering post-frontal air mass combined with moderate southerly flow continues to suppress daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C. Variable cloud cover introduces a 1–2 °C uncertainty band that keeps 13 °C and 16 °C outcomes within reach for traders. Real-time observations and afternoon SMN updates will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast value or shifts within that narrow range, reflecting the tight clustering of current market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 36%
15°C 30%
13°C 22%
16°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
22%
14°C
36%
15°C
30%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 36%
15°C 30%
13°C 22%
16°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
22%
14°C
36%
15°C
30%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZLatest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, place the expected daytime maximum at Ministro Pistarini International Airport near 14–15 °C for May 17. A lingering post-frontal air mass combined with moderate southerly flow continues to suppress daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C. Variable cloud cover introduces a 1–2 °C uncertainty band that keeps 13 °C and 16 °C outcomes within reach for traders. Real-time observations and afternoon SMN updates will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast value or shifts within that narrow range, reflecting the tight clustering of current market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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