Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on May 20?
Lowest temperature in London on May 20?
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
11°C 11%
14°C 11%
BARU
BARU
May 20, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
15%
13°C
21%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
11°C 11%
14°C 11%
BARU
BARU
May 20, 2026
7°C or below
$60 Vol.
1%
8°C
$63 Vol.
5%
9°C
$6 Vol.
5%
10°C
$6 Vol.
11%
11°C
$25 Vol.
19%
12°C
$6 Vol.
15%
13°C
$16 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$6 Vol.
8%
16°C
$14 Vol.
5%
17°C or higher
$76 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$278Tanggal Berakhir
May 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$278Tanggal Berakhir
May 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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