Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s overnight minimum on May 18 most likely between 7 °C and 9 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A southwesterly flow is drawing milder Atlantic air while patchy showers and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling; any brief clear spells could drop readings toward 7 °C, whereas persistent low cloud or light rain would hold the low nearer 9 °C. These short-range model differences, combined with typical May climatology of 8–9 °C at London City Airport, sustain the close probabilities until the final overnight observations resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on May 18?
Lowest temperature in London on May 18?
9°C 28%
8°C 23%
7°C 23%
10°C 22%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
23%
8°C
28%
9°C
24%
10°C
16%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
3%
9°C 28%
8°C 23%
7°C 23%
10°C 22%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$52 Vol.
1%
3°C
$52 Vol.
1%
4°C
$65 Vol.
1%
5°C
$296 Vol.
1%
6°C
$62 Vol.
1%
7°C
$26 Vol.
23%
8°C
$15 Vol.
28%
9°C
$27 Vol.
24%
10°C
$13 Vol.
16%
11°C
$2 Vol.
5%
12°C or higher
$96 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s overnight minimum on May 18 most likely between 7 °C and 9 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A southwesterly flow is drawing milder Atlantic air while patchy showers and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling; any brief clear spells could drop readings toward 7 °C, whereas persistent low cloud or light rain would hold the low nearer 9 °C. These short-range model differences, combined with typical May climatology of 8–9 °C at London City Airport, sustain the close probabilities until the final overnight observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$706Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s overnight minimum on May 18 most likely between 7 °C and 9 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A southwesterly flow is drawing milder Atlantic air while patchy showers and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling; any brief clear spells could drop readings toward 7 °C, whereas persistent low cloud or light rain would hold the low nearer 9 °C. These short-range model differences, combined with typical May climatology of 8–9 °C at London City Airport, sustain the close probabilities until the final overnight observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$706Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s overnight minimum on May 18 most likely between 7 °C and 9 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A southwesterly flow is drawing milder Atlantic air while patchy showers and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling; any brief clear spells could drop readings toward 7 °C, whereas persistent low cloud or light rain would hold the low nearer 9 °C. These short-range model differences, combined with typical May climatology of 8–9 °C at London City Airport, sustain the close probabilities until the final overnight observations resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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