Recent short-range model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to an afternoon high of 32–33°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by peak solar insolation near the May solstice and subsidence under a weak ridge that limits deep convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Light northwest winds and high humidity near 80% will cap rapid intensification, while scattered afternoon showers introduce modest cooling risk. Historical May climatology at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport shows daily maxima averaging 31–34°C with low day-to-day variability, aligning with current market-implied odds favoring the 32°C and 33°C-or-higher bins. Updated 12z model runs and METAR observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
33°C or higher 40%
32°C 32%
31°C 19%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
46%
33°C or higher 40%
32°C 32%
31°C 19%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$55 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$71 Vol.
32%
33°C or higher
$45 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to an afternoon high of 32–33°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by peak solar insolation near the May solstice and subsidence under a weak ridge that limits deep convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Light northwest winds and high humidity near 80% will cap rapid intensification, while scattered afternoon showers introduce modest cooling risk. Historical May climatology at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport shows daily maxima averaging 31–34°C with low day-to-day variability, aligning with current market-implied odds favoring the 32°C and 33°C-or-higher bins. Updated 12z model runs and METAR observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$633Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to an afternoon high of 32–33°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by peak solar insolation near the May solstice and subsidence under a weak ridge that limits deep convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Light northwest winds and high humidity near 80% will cap rapid intensification, while scattered afternoon showers introduce modest cooling risk. Historical May climatology at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport shows daily maxima averaging 31–34°C with low day-to-day variability, aligning with current market-implied odds favoring the 32°C and 33°C-or-higher bins. Updated 12z model runs and METAR observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$633Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to an afternoon high of 32–33°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by peak solar insolation near the May solstice and subsidence under a weak ridge that limits deep convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Light northwest winds and high humidity near 80% will cap rapid intensification, while scattered afternoon showers introduce modest cooling risk. Historical May climatology at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport shows daily maxima averaging 31–34°C with low day-to-day variability, aligning with current market-implied odds favoring the 32°C and 33°C-or-higher bins. Updated 12z model runs and METAR observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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