Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to 33°C or higher as Panama City's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model consensus indicating highs of 33–35°C amid a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America. This setup, combined with near-maximum solar insolation in the tropical latitude and persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and clear skies, has elevated odds from recent runs of global models like those reflected on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daily peaks up to 92°F (33°C). Recent observations over the past week show above-climatological averages with minimal convective activity, limiting cloud cover and enhancing surface heating. Official updates from Panama's meteorological institute and Tocumen Airport readings expected throughout the day could shift probabilities as actual conditions unfold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
33°C or higher 61%
32°C 32%
31°C 10%
30°C 1.3%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
61%
33°C or higher 61%
32°C 32%
31°C 10%
30°C 1.3%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
23°C or below
$618 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$874 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$826 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$686 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$736 Vol.
1%
30°C
$704 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,289 Vol.
10%
32°C
$769 Vol.
32%
33°C or higher
$930 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to 33°C or higher as Panama City's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model consensus indicating highs of 33–35°C amid a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America. This setup, combined with near-maximum solar insolation in the tropical latitude and persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and clear skies, has elevated odds from recent runs of global models like those reflected on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daily peaks up to 92°F (33°C). Recent observations over the past week show above-climatological averages with minimal convective activity, limiting cloud cover and enhancing surface heating. Official updates from Panama's meteorological institute and Tocumen Airport readings expected throughout the day could shift probabilities as actual conditions unfold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$9,028Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to 33°C or higher as Panama City's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model consensus indicating highs of 33–35°C amid a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America. This setup, combined with near-maximum solar insolation in the tropical latitude and persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and clear skies, has elevated odds from recent runs of global models like those reflected on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daily peaks up to 92°F (33°C). Recent observations over the past week show above-climatological averages with minimal convective activity, limiting cloud cover and enhancing surface heating. Official updates from Panama's meteorological institute and Tocumen Airport readings expected throughout the day could shift probabilities as actual conditions unfold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,028Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to 33°C or higher as Panama City's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model consensus indicating highs of 33–35°C amid a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America. This setup, combined with near-maximum solar insolation in the tropical latitude and persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and clear skies, has elevated odds from recent runs of global models like those reflected on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project daily peaks up to 92°F (33°C). Recent observations over the past week show above-climatological averages with minimal convective activity, limiting cloud cover and enhancing surface heating. Official updates from Panama's meteorological institute and Tocumen Airport readings expected throughout the day could shift probabilities as actual conditions unfold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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