Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Houston on May 17 under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms, where the average high reaches 87°F amid strong May solar heating and efficient daytime warming from overnight lows typically in the upper 60s to low 70s. Subtropical moisture and minimal cloud cover further support temperatures at or above 86°F, while any onshore breeze or scattered afternoon convection could modestly limit peaks. Traders are therefore assigning an 88.8% implied probability to 86°F or higher, reflecting the tight spread in short-range forecast guidance and the low likelihood of significant cooling mechanisms this time of year.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 88.9%
84-85°F 8%
82-83°F 3.5%
80-81°F <1%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
89%
86°F or higher 88.9%
84-85°F 8%
82-83°F 3.5%
80-81°F <1%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,678 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$613 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$122 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$370 Vol.
8%
86°F or higher
$260 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Houston on May 17 under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms, where the average high reaches 87°F amid strong May solar heating and efficient daytime warming from overnight lows typically in the upper 60s to low 70s. Subtropical moisture and minimal cloud cover further support temperatures at or above 86°F, while any onshore breeze or scattered afternoon convection could modestly limit peaks. Traders are therefore assigning an 88.8% implied probability to 86°F or higher, reflecting the tight spread in short-range forecast guidance and the low likelihood of significant cooling mechanisms this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,434Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Houston on May 17 under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms, where the average high reaches 87°F amid strong May solar heating and efficient daytime warming from overnight lows typically in the upper 60s to low 70s. Subtropical moisture and minimal cloud cover further support temperatures at or above 86°F, while any onshore breeze or scattered afternoon convection could modestly limit peaks. Traders are therefore assigning an 88.8% implied probability to 86°F or higher, reflecting the tight spread in short-range forecast guidance and the low likelihood of significant cooling mechanisms this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,434Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Houston on May 17 under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms, where the average high reaches 87°F amid strong May solar heating and efficient daytime warming from overnight lows typically in the upper 60s to low 70s. Subtropical moisture and minimal cloud cover further support temperatures at or above 86°F, while any onshore breeze or scattered afternoon convection could modestly limit peaks. Traders are therefore assigning an 88.8% implied probability to 86°F or higher, reflecting the tight spread in short-range forecast guidance and the low likelihood of significant cooling mechanisms this time of year.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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