Recent National Weather Service model runs show a high-pressure ridge dominating the Northeast, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over New York City. This synoptic setup supports minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport, matching the market’s tight distribution around the 64–69°F outcomes that together exceed 57% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting stable guidance rather than major model disagreement, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the low a degree or two. Historical mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima near 55°F, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next NWS update cycle for any adjustments to the 48-hour forecast before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on May 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 19?
64-65°F 22%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
4%
64-65°F 22%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$70 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$331 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$9 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$25 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$22 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$18 Vol.
16%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
4%
74°F or higher
$25 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs show a high-pressure ridge dominating the Northeast, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over New York City. This synoptic setup supports minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport, matching the market’s tight distribution around the 64–69°F outcomes that together exceed 57% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting stable guidance rather than major model disagreement, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the low a degree or two. Historical mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima near 55°F, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next NWS update cycle for any adjustments to the 48-hour forecast before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$504Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs show a high-pressure ridge dominating the Northeast, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over New York City. This synoptic setup supports minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport, matching the market’s tight distribution around the 64–69°F outcomes that together exceed 57% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting stable guidance rather than major model disagreement, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the low a degree or two. Historical mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima near 55°F, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next NWS update cycle for any adjustments to the 48-hour forecast before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$504Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent National Weather Service model runs show a high-pressure ridge dominating the Northeast, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over New York City. This synoptic setup supports minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport, matching the market’s tight distribution around the 64–69°F outcomes that together exceed 57% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting stable guidance rather than major model disagreement, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the low a degree or two. Historical mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima near 55°F, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next NWS update cycle for any adjustments to the 48-hour forecast before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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