Recent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 17?
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 32%
66-67°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 32%
66-67°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
55°F or below
$62 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$15 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$91 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$206 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$94 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$56 Vol.
28%
66-67°F
$186 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$314 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$106 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$35 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,254Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,254Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETRecent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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