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icon for Ebola emergency by June 30?

Ebola emergency by June 30?

icon for Ebola emergency by June 30?

Ebola emergency by June 30?

16% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
16% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, with 246 suspected cases and roughly 80 community deaths reported as of mid-May 2026, has not triggered escalation toward a global public health emergency. DRC health authorities and the World Health Organization have already activated standard containment protocols, including contact tracing, surveillance, and cross-border coordination with Uganda, drawing on the country’s experience managing 16 prior outbreaks. The Bundibugyo strain’s lower transmissibility relative to Zaire ebolavirus, combined with the outbreak’s concentration in hard-to-reach zones and absence of sustained international spread, supports trader consensus that no major emergency declaration will occur by June 30. Upcoming surveillance updates from Africa CDC and WHO field teams will provide the next key data points.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,487
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, with 246 suspected cases and roughly 80 community deaths reported as of mid-May 2026, has not triggered escalation toward a global public health emergency. DRC health authorities and the World Health Organization have already activated standard containment protocols, including contact tracing, surveillance, and cross-border coordination with Uganda, drawing on the country’s experience managing 16 prior outbreaks. The Bundibugyo strain’s lower transmissibility relative to Zaire ebolavirus, combined with the outbreak’s concentration in hard-to-reach zones and absence of sustained international spread, supports trader consensus that no major emergency declaration will occur by June 30. Upcoming surveillance updates from Africa CDC and WHO field teams will provide the next key data points.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,487
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Ebola emergency by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 16% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 16¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 16% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Ebola emergency by June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 15, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Ebola emergency by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Ebola emergency by June 30?" adalah 16% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 16% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Ebola emergency by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.