Recent short-term forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Helsinki’s May 18 daytime maximum most likely reaching 19–22 °C under a mild southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can swing the peak by 2–3 °C, keeping the three leading outcomes nearly equal. Historical May maxima in the city average 16 °C, so current model guidance already reflects above-normal warmth for mid-month. Updated runs expected later today and tomorrow will likely narrow the distribution and shift probabilities ahead of the market’s close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 18?
20°C 30%
21°C 25%
22°C or higher 24%
19°C 15%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
30%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
24%
20°C 30%
21°C 25%
22°C or higher 24%
19°C 15%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
30%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKRecent short-term forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Helsinki’s May 18 daytime maximum most likely reaching 19–22 °C under a mild southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can swing the peak by 2–3 °C, keeping the three leading outcomes nearly equal. Historical May maxima in the city average 16 °C, so current model guidance already reflects above-normal warmth for mid-month. Updated runs expected later today and tomorrow will likely narrow the distribution and shift probabilities ahead of the market’s close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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