Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 15 reaching 20°C or below, driven by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET)'s latest forecast capping the maximum at 19°C amid an ongoing polar air outbreak and incoming cold front. Southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels up to 90% are suppressing daytime heating, following record-low minimums near 11°C earlier this week and a prior cold front on May 10 that stabilized cooler conditions. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC show agreement on subdued highs well below May's climatological average of 23°C, though partial clearing could allow a nudge to 21°C (21% implied odds); official automated station observations will resolve by end-of-day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
20°C or below 53%
21°C 20%
22°C 15%
23°C 9%
$32,047 Vol.
$32,047 Vol.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
53%
21°C
20%
22°C
15%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 53%
21°C 20%
22°C 15%
23°C 9%
$32,047 Vol.
$32,047 Vol.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$5,355 Vol.
53%
21°C
$3,402 Vol.
20%
22°C
$4,244 Vol.
15%
23°C
$3,568 Vol.
9%
24°C
$2,553 Vol.
2%
25°C
$4,214 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,298 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,219 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,888 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$812 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,595 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 15 reaching 20°C or below, driven by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET)'s latest forecast capping the maximum at 19°C amid an ongoing polar air outbreak and incoming cold front. Southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels up to 90% are suppressing daytime heating, following record-low minimums near 11°C earlier this week and a prior cold front on May 10 that stabilized cooler conditions. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC show agreement on subdued highs well below May's climatological average of 23°C, though partial clearing could allow a nudge to 21°C (21% implied odds); official automated station observations will resolve by end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$32,047Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 15 reaching 20°C or below, driven by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET)'s latest forecast capping the maximum at 19°C amid an ongoing polar air outbreak and incoming cold front. Southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels up to 90% are suppressing daytime heating, following record-low minimums near 11°C earlier this week and a prior cold front on May 10 that stabilized cooler conditions. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC show agreement on subdued highs well below May's climatological average of 23°C, though partial clearing could allow a nudge to 21°C (21% implied odds); official automated station observations will resolve by end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,047Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 15 reaching 20°C or below, driven by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET)'s latest forecast capping the maximum at 19°C amid an ongoing polar air outbreak and incoming cold front. Southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels up to 90% are suppressing daytime heating, following record-low minimums near 11°C earlier this week and a prior cold front on May 10 that stabilized cooler conditions. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC show agreement on subdued highs well below May's climatological average of 23°C, though partial clearing could allow a nudge to 21°C (21% implied odds); official automated station observations will resolve by end-of-day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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