Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chongqing on May 15 (99.4% implied probability), driven by official forecasts from sources like TimeandDate.com projecting a daily peak of 24°C amid persistent overcast skies, sprinkles, and 13.7 mm of precipitation. Current midday readings hover around 20°C with hourly projections topping out at 23–24°C through late afternoon, suppressed by heavy morning showers and evaporative cooling that limit solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration updates noting moderate rain, contrasting May's typical highs near 28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for extended sunshine, though ongoing showers make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
24°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$52,862 Vol.
$52,862 Vol.
May 15, 2026
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$52,862 Vol.
$52,862 Vol.
May 15, 2026
24°C
$6,499 Vol.
99%
25°C
$4,605 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,386 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$9,850 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chongqing on May 15 (99.4% implied probability), driven by official forecasts from sources like TimeandDate.com projecting a daily peak of 24°C amid persistent overcast skies, sprinkles, and 13.7 mm of precipitation. Current midday readings hover around 20°C with hourly projections topping out at 23–24°C through late afternoon, suppressed by heavy morning showers and evaporative cooling that limit solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration updates noting moderate rain, contrasting May's typical highs near 28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for extended sunshine, though ongoing showers make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$52,862Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chongqing on May 15 (99.4% implied probability), driven by official forecasts from sources like TimeandDate.com projecting a daily peak of 24°C amid persistent overcast skies, sprinkles, and 13.7 mm of precipitation. Current midday readings hover around 20°C with hourly projections topping out at 23–24°C through late afternoon, suppressed by heavy morning showers and evaporative cooling that limit solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration updates noting moderate rain, contrasting May's typical highs near 28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for extended sunshine, though ongoing showers make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,862Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chongqing on May 15 (99.4% implied probability), driven by official forecasts from sources like TimeandDate.com projecting a daily peak of 24°C amid persistent overcast skies, sprinkles, and 13.7 mm of precipitation. Current midday readings hover around 20°C with hourly projections topping out at 23–24°C through late afternoon, suppressed by heavy morning showers and evaporative cooling that limit solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration updates noting moderate rain, contrasting May's typical highs near 28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for extended sunshine, though ongoing showers make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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