Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
25°C or higher 54%
24°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 7%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
19%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
50%
25°C or higher 54%
24°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 7%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$546 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$346 Vol.
1%
19°C
$174 Vol.
1%
20°C
$233 Vol.
3%
21°C
$169 Vol.
3%
22°C
$187 Vol.
7%
23°C
$342 Vol.
19%
24°C
$149 Vol.
20%
25°C or higher
$517 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$5,288Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,288Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chongqing's May 16 high temperature in the 23–27°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–25°C outcomes and trader consensus on subdued peaks below climatological May averages of 27°C. This reflects uncertainty from the onset of Chongqing's humid "plum rain" season, with high precipitation probabilities (up to 90% on some ensembles) fostering extensive cloud cover that caps diurnal heating despite warm air masses aloft. Key differentiators include shower timing—early-day rain favors lower outcomes like 21–23°C, while delayed clearing could push toward 25°C or higher. Watch for CMA's next 24-hour update and model refreshes tomorrow, which may sharpen the peak distribution as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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