Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for 12°C as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecasts indicating a maximum of 14°C amid bright spells but frequent heavy showers, hail risks, and a fresh northwesterly breeze gusting to 20 mph, which suppresses daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and unstable air. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C high under light rain showers, yet traders favor slightly cooler outcomes like 12°C (38.5%) and 13°C (27%) over 14°C (13.5%), reflecting caution from recent underperformance of models during this unsettled low-pressure pattern—May 13's high hit around 13-14°C despite similar predictions. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but current below-normal conditions dominate; watch overnight forecast updates from the Met Office for potential shifts ahead of resolution via London City Airport observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 39%
13°C 28%
11°C 14.3%
14°C 14%
BARU
$83,000 Vol.
BARU
$83,000 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
14%
12°C
39%
13°C
28%
14°C
14%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 28%
11°C 14.3%
14°C 14%
BARU
$83,000 Vol.
BARU
$83,000 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$5,152 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$4,016 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$13,966 Vol.
1%
10°C
$13,173 Vol.
4%
11°C
$6,858 Vol.
14%
12°C
$5,091 Vol.
39%
13°C
$6,875 Vol.
28%
14°C
$7,720 Vol.
14%
15°C
$8,309 Vol.
3%
16°C
$6,962 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$4,963 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for 12°C as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecasts indicating a maximum of 14°C amid bright spells but frequent heavy showers, hail risks, and a fresh northwesterly breeze gusting to 20 mph, which suppresses daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and unstable air. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C high under light rain showers, yet traders favor slightly cooler outcomes like 12°C (38.5%) and 13°C (27%) over 14°C (13.5%), reflecting caution from recent underperformance of models during this unsettled low-pressure pattern—May 13's high hit around 13-14°C despite similar predictions. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but current below-normal conditions dominate; watch overnight forecast updates from the Met Office for potential shifts ahead of resolution via London City Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$83,000Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for 12°C as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecasts indicating a maximum of 14°C amid bright spells but frequent heavy showers, hail risks, and a fresh northwesterly breeze gusting to 20 mph, which suppresses daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and unstable air. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C high under light rain showers, yet traders favor slightly cooler outcomes like 12°C (38.5%) and 13°C (27%) over 14°C (13.5%), reflecting caution from recent underperformance of models during this unsettled low-pressure pattern—May 13's high hit around 13-14°C despite similar predictions. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but current below-normal conditions dominate; watch overnight forecast updates from the Met Office for potential shifts ahead of resolution via London City Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,000Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for 12°C as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecasts indicating a maximum of 14°C amid bright spells but frequent heavy showers, hail risks, and a fresh northwesterly breeze gusting to 20 mph, which suppresses daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and unstable air. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C high under light rain showers, yet traders favor slightly cooler outcomes like 12°C (38.5%) and 13°C (27%) over 14°C (13.5%), reflecting caution from recent underperformance of models during this unsettled low-pressure pattern—May 13's high hit around 13-14°C despite similar predictions. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but current below-normal conditions dominate; watch overnight forecast updates from the Met Office for potential shifts ahead of resolution via London City Airport observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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