Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 Vol.
$24,825 Vol.
May 15, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 Vol.
$24,825 Vol.
May 15, 2026
21°C or below
$5,148 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,332 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$2,368 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,828 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,929 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,072 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,087 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,001 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,010 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,223 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$828 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volume
$24,825Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,825Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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