Current forecasts from major models converge on a maximum of 25°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a warm, stable air mass under initially sunny conditions that give way to afternoon convective clouds and isolated thunderstorms. These elements introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, as earlier cloud cover or stronger storms could suppress temperatures toward 24°C while clearer intervals support a push to 26°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 18–20°C, so this warmer setup reflects recent advection of milder continental air. Traders weigh the precise timing of instability and any last-minute model shifts in guidance from agencies like Roshydromet, with resolution hinging on official observational data at the city's primary stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
25°C 35%
26°C 27.6%
24°C 22%
27°C 11.8%
BARU
$11,435 Vol.
BARU
$11,435 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
22%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 35%
26°C 27.6%
24°C 22%
27°C 11.8%
BARU
$11,435 Vol.
BARU
$11,435 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,330 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,315 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,937 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,350 Vol.
2%
23°C
$747 Vol.
6%
24°C
$490 Vol.
22%
25°C
$647 Vol.
35%
26°C
$876 Vol.
28%
27°C
$667 Vol.
12%
28°C or higher
$1,054 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from major models converge on a maximum of 25°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a warm, stable air mass under initially sunny conditions that give way to afternoon convective clouds and isolated thunderstorms. These elements introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, as earlier cloud cover or stronger storms could suppress temperatures toward 24°C while clearer intervals support a push to 26°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 18–20°C, so this warmer setup reflects recent advection of milder continental air. Traders weigh the precise timing of instability and any last-minute model shifts in guidance from agencies like Roshydromet, with resolution hinging on official observational data at the city's primary stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,435Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from major models converge on a maximum of 25°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a warm, stable air mass under initially sunny conditions that give way to afternoon convective clouds and isolated thunderstorms. These elements introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, as earlier cloud cover or stronger storms could suppress temperatures toward 24°C while clearer intervals support a push to 26°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 18–20°C, so this warmer setup reflects recent advection of milder continental air. Traders weigh the precise timing of instability and any last-minute model shifts in guidance from agencies like Roshydromet, with resolution hinging on official observational data at the city's primary stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,435Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from major models converge on a maximum of 25°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a warm, stable air mass under initially sunny conditions that give way to afternoon convective clouds and isolated thunderstorms. These elements introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, as earlier cloud cover or stronger storms could suppress temperatures toward 24°C while clearer intervals support a push to 26°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 18–20°C, so this warmer setup reflects recent advection of milder continental air. Traders weigh the precise timing of instability and any last-minute model shifts in guidance from agencies like Roshydromet, with resolution hinging on official observational data at the city's primary stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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