Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers such as ECMWF and GFS point to a Moscow high of 27–29 °C on May 18 under southerly flow of milder air and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. This narrow range produces nearly even trader shares across the three leading outcomes, as small differences in model depictions of afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and surface wind speed can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average highs near 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a notable warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these values until the final 24-hour model runs arrive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 28%
28°C 23%
27°C 19%
31°C or higher 14%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 28%
28°C 23%
27°C 19%
31°C or higher 14%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$574 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$732 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$616 Vol.
2%
25°C
$366 Vol.
2%
26°C
$182 Vol.
7%
27°C
$166 Vol.
23%
28°C
$169 Vol.
21%
29°C
$143 Vol.
25%
30°C
$81 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$173 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers such as ECMWF and GFS point to a Moscow high of 27–29 °C on May 18 under southerly flow of milder air and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. This narrow range produces nearly even trader shares across the three leading outcomes, as small differences in model depictions of afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and surface wind speed can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average highs near 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a notable warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these values until the final 24-hour model runs arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,649Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from major centers such as ECMWF and GFS point to a Moscow high of 27–29 °C on May 18 under southerly flow of milder air and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. This narrow range produces nearly even trader shares across the three leading outcomes, as small differences in model depictions of afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and surface wind speed can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average highs near 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a notable warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these values until the final 24-hour model runs arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,649Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from major centers such as ECMWF and GFS point to a Moscow high of 27–29 °C on May 18 under southerly flow of milder air and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. This narrow range produces nearly even trader shares across the three leading outcomes, as small differences in model depictions of afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and surface wind speed can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average highs near 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a notable warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these values until the final 24-hour model runs arrive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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