Current official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration place Manila’s maximum temperature at 35°C today, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal afternoon convection. This aligns with May climatology, when daytime highs average 32–34°C but can reach 35°C under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and high humidity. Model consensus shows little deviation, keeping the market-implied probability for 35°C near certainty. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of localized thunderstorms or increased cloud cover by early afternoon, which could cap the peak one degree lower, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a shift unlikely before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on May 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
35°C 99.9%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$42,691 Vol.
$42,691 Vol.
May 16, 2026
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.9%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$42,691 Vol.
$42,691 Vol.
May 16, 2026
35°C
$3,465 Vol.
100%
36°C
$3,941 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$4,003 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,982 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$742 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration place Manila’s maximum temperature at 35°C today, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal afternoon convection. This aligns with May climatology, when daytime highs average 32–34°C but can reach 35°C under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and high humidity. Model consensus shows little deviation, keeping the market-implied probability for 35°C near certainty. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of localized thunderstorms or increased cloud cover by early afternoon, which could cap the peak one degree lower, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a shift unlikely before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$42,691Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration place Manila’s maximum temperature at 35°C today, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal afternoon convection. This aligns with May climatology, when daytime highs average 32–34°C but can reach 35°C under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and high humidity. Model consensus shows little deviation, keeping the market-implied probability for 35°C near certainty. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of localized thunderstorms or increased cloud cover by early afternoon, which could cap the peak one degree lower, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a shift unlikely before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,691Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration place Manila’s maximum temperature at 35°C today, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal afternoon convection. This aligns with May climatology, when daytime highs average 32–34°C but can reach 35°C under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and high humidity. Model consensus shows little deviation, keeping the market-implied probability for 35°C near certainty. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of localized thunderstorms or increased cloud cover by early afternoon, which could cap the peak one degree lower, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a shift unlikely before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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