Short-range ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models show tight clustering around a daily high of 23–24°C for Qingdao on May 16, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds over the Yellow Sea that limit daytime heating. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, with only modest upside risk if reduced cloud cover allows stronger insolation. Qingdao’s marine climate typically caps mid-May highs near 18–23°C, so any deviation hinges on exact timing of peak temperatures and wind strength. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
24°C 32%
23°C 28%
25°C 23%
22°C 17.9%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
18%
23°C
28%
24°C
32%
25°C
23%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 28%
25°C 23%
22°C 17.9%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
20°C or below
$2,571 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,908 Vol.
5%
22°C
$660 Vol.
18%
23°C
$149 Vol.
28%
24°C
$254 Vol.
32%
25°C
$563 Vol.
23%
26°C
$458 Vol.
7%
27°C
$439 Vol.
2%
28°C
$278 Vol.
1%
29°C
$709 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$511 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models show tight clustering around a daily high of 23–24°C for Qingdao on May 16, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds over the Yellow Sea that limit daytime heating. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, with only modest upside risk if reduced cloud cover allows stronger insolation. Qingdao’s marine climate typically caps mid-May highs near 18–23°C, so any deviation hinges on exact timing of peak temperatures and wind strength. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$9,500Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models show tight clustering around a daily high of 23–24°C for Qingdao on May 16, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds over the Yellow Sea that limit daytime heating. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, with only modest upside risk if reduced cloud cover allows stronger insolation. Qingdao’s marine climate typically caps mid-May highs near 18–23°C, so any deviation hinges on exact timing of peak temperatures and wind strength. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,500Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models show tight clustering around a daily high of 23–24°C for Qingdao on May 16, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds over the Yellow Sea that limit daytime heating. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely matched between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, with only modest upside risk if reduced cloud cover allows stronger insolation. Qingdao’s marine climate typically caps mid-May highs near 18–23°C, so any deviation hinges on exact timing of peak temperatures and wind strength. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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