Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
10°C 25%
11°C 22%
8°C 20%
9°C 16%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
5%
8°C
20%
9°C
16%
10°C
25%
11°C
22%
12°C
11%
13°C
5%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
10°C 25%
11°C 22%
8°C 20%
9°C 16%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
6°C
$42 Vol.
4%
7°C
$20 Vol.
5%
8°C
$0 Vol.
20%
9°C
$0 Vol.
16%
10°C
$6 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$9 Vol.
5%
14°C
$10 Vol.
4%
15°C or higher
$76 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$174Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$174Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETEnsemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan