Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project Paris overnight lows for May 18 near 8–10°C, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass with light southwesterly winds limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup produces modest temperature drops after sunset, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover around 10°C at Paris-Le Bourget. Minor model spreads arise from slight differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 8°C and 9°C as the tightest market contenders while higher outcomes remain possible if winds strengthen or clearer conditions develop. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final observational data at resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
8°C 22%
9°C 20%
10°C 11%
6°C 7.5%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
7%
7°C
4%
8°C
28%
9°C
20%
10°C
11%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
2%
8°C 22%
9°C 20%
10°C 11%
6°C 7.5%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$62 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$57 Vol.
1%
4°C
$25 Vol.
1%
5°C
$35 Vol.
1%
6°C
$21 Vol.
7%
7°C
$35 Vol.
4%
8°C
$16 Vol.
28%
9°C
$35 Vol.
20%
10°C
$52 Vol.
11%
11°C
$20 Vol.
5%
12°C or higher
$476 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project Paris overnight lows for May 18 near 8–10°C, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass with light southwesterly winds limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup produces modest temperature drops after sunset, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover around 10°C at Paris-Le Bourget. Minor model spreads arise from slight differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 8°C and 9°C as the tightest market contenders while higher outcomes remain possible if winds strengthen or clearer conditions develop. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final observational data at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$835Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project Paris overnight lows for May 18 near 8–10°C, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass with light southwesterly winds limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup produces modest temperature drops after sunset, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover around 10°C at Paris-Le Bourget. Minor model spreads arise from slight differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 8°C and 9°C as the tightest market contenders while higher outcomes remain possible if winds strengthen or clearer conditions develop. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final observational data at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$835Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project Paris overnight lows for May 18 near 8–10°C, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass with light southwesterly winds limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup produces modest temperature drops after sunset, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover around 10°C at Paris-Le Bourget. Minor model spreads arise from slight differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 8°C and 9°C as the tightest market contenders while higher outcomes remain possible if winds strengthen or clearer conditions develop. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final observational data at resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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