The overwhelming trader consensus on a 6°C low in Paris today stems from the tight agreement among numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and Meteo-France runs, which forecast a minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure influence and moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Current surface observations and satellite data show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push temperatures lower, while daytime highs around 14–16°C limit overnight drops. This aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where averages hover near 8–10°C but recent patterns favor the lower end. A meaningful deviation would require an unexpected frontal passage or enhanced subsidence, though model spread remains narrow into the overnight hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
6°C 99.7%
0°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
1°C <1%
$14,850 Vol.
$14,850 Vol.
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
6°C 99.7%
0°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
1°C <1%
$14,850 Vol.
$14,850 Vol.
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
$255 Vol.
1%
1°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$727 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,033 Vol.
100%
7°C
$3,305 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,833 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$943 Vol.
<1%
10°C or higher
$3,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus on a 6°C low in Paris today stems from the tight agreement among numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and Meteo-France runs, which forecast a minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure influence and moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Current surface observations and satellite data show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push temperatures lower, while daytime highs around 14–16°C limit overnight drops. This aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where averages hover near 8–10°C but recent patterns favor the lower end. A meaningful deviation would require an unexpected frontal passage or enhanced subsidence, though model spread remains narrow into the overnight hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,850Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus on a 6°C low in Paris today stems from the tight agreement among numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and Meteo-France runs, which forecast a minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure influence and moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Current surface observations and satellite data show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push temperatures lower, while daytime highs around 14–16°C limit overnight drops. This aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where averages hover near 8–10°C but recent patterns favor the lower end. A meaningful deviation would require an unexpected frontal passage or enhanced subsidence, though model spread remains narrow into the overnight hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,850Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe overwhelming trader consensus on a 6°C low in Paris today stems from the tight agreement among numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and Meteo-France runs, which forecast a minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure influence and moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Current surface observations and satellite data show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push temperatures lower, while daytime highs around 14–16°C limit overnight drops. This aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where averages hover near 8–10°C but recent patterns favor the lower end. A meaningful deviation would require an unexpected frontal passage or enhanced subsidence, though model spread remains narrow into the overnight hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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