Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by a weakening marine layer and slightly warmer onshore flow that allows modest afternoon warming. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at the market-leading 53.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features persistent coastal stratus that caps highs near the 67°F seasonal average, yet recent model runs show reduced fog coverage compared to the past week’s cooler pattern. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability at the KSFO station, where small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing can move the final reading by 2–3°F. Updated forecast discussions are expected within the next 12 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 57%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 12%
62-63°F 2.3%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
31%
68°F or higher
57%
68°F or higher 57%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 12%
62-63°F 2.3%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$426 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$480 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$261 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,402 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$704 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$403 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$655 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$482 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$230 Vol.
31%
68°F or higher
$288 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by a weakening marine layer and slightly warmer onshore flow that allows modest afternoon warming. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at the market-leading 53.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features persistent coastal stratus that caps highs near the 67°F seasonal average, yet recent model runs show reduced fog coverage compared to the past week’s cooler pattern. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability at the KSFO station, where small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing can move the final reading by 2–3°F. Updated forecast discussions are expected within the next 12 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,210Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by a weakening marine layer and slightly warmer onshore flow that allows modest afternoon warming. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at the market-leading 53.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features persistent coastal stratus that caps highs near the 67°F seasonal average, yet recent model runs show reduced fog coverage compared to the past week’s cooler pattern. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability at the KSFO station, where small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing can move the final reading by 2–3°F. Updated forecast discussions are expected within the next 12 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,210Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by a weakening marine layer and slightly warmer onshore flow that allows modest afternoon warming. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at the market-leading 53.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features persistent coastal stratus that caps highs near the 67°F seasonal average, yet recent model runs show reduced fog coverage compared to the past week’s cooler pattern. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability at the KSFO station, where small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing can move the final reading by 2–3°F. Updated forecast discussions are expected within the next 12 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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