National Weather Service model runs and real-time observations from San Francisco International Airport show afternoon temperatures stabilizing in the mid-60s under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow, placing the daily high squarely within the 66–67°F range. This outcome aligns closely with climatological May norms near 67°F while reflecting limited high-pressure influence that has kept low-level stratus and advection from suppressing warming. With resolution approaching, the market-implied 98.5% probability on 66–67°F captures the strong consensus across guidance, though modest erosion of the stratus deck or brief wind shifts could still allow a push to 68°F or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
66-67°F 98.8%
68°F or higher 1.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$29,237 Vol.
$29,237 Vol.
May 16, 2026
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
99%
68°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 98.8%
68°F or higher 1.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$29,237 Vol.
$29,237 Vol.
May 16, 2026
60-61°F
$3,733 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,481 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,209 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,870 Vol.
99%
68°F or higher
$3,064 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model runs and real-time observations from San Francisco International Airport show afternoon temperatures stabilizing in the mid-60s under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow, placing the daily high squarely within the 66–67°F range. This outcome aligns closely with climatological May norms near 67°F while reflecting limited high-pressure influence that has kept low-level stratus and advection from suppressing warming. With resolution approaching, the market-implied 98.5% probability on 66–67°F captures the strong consensus across guidance, though modest erosion of the stratus deck or brief wind shifts could still allow a push to 68°F or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$29,237Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model runs and real-time observations from San Francisco International Airport show afternoon temperatures stabilizing in the mid-60s under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow, placing the daily high squarely within the 66–67°F range. This outcome aligns closely with climatological May norms near 67°F while reflecting limited high-pressure influence that has kept low-level stratus and advection from suppressing warming. With resolution approaching, the market-implied 98.5% probability on 66–67°F captures the strong consensus across guidance, though modest erosion of the stratus deck or brief wind shifts could still allow a push to 68°F or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,237Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service model runs and real-time observations from San Francisco International Airport show afternoon temperatures stabilizing in the mid-60s under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow, placing the daily high squarely within the 66–67°F range. This outcome aligns closely with climatological May norms near 67°F while reflecting limited high-pressure influence that has kept low-level stratus and advection from suppressing warming. With resolution approaching, the market-implied 98.5% probability on 66–67°F captures the strong consensus across guidance, though modest erosion of the stratus deck or brief wind shifts could still allow a push to 68°F or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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