Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows Tokyo’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 16–18 °C, with the tight spread between those bins reflecting modest differences in expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow. Mid-May climatology places the average minimum around 15–17 °C, so traders are weighting the probability of near-normal conditions against small variations in cloud cover and wind that could nudge the reading a degree either way. No major frontal systems or anomalous high-pressure ridges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to the final 24-hour model runs and the precise timing of any sea-breeze influence from Tokyo Bay.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
18°C 27%
17°C 23%
16°C 22%
19°C 9%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
28%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
9%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 27%
17°C 23%
16°C 22%
19°C 9%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$300 Vol.
3%
15°C
$121 Vol.
2%
16°C
$35 Vol.
28%
17°C
$62 Vol.
22%
18°C
$63 Vol.
22%
19°C
$67 Vol.
9%
20°C
$199 Vol.
1%
21°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows Tokyo’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 16–18 °C, with the tight spread between those bins reflecting modest differences in expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow. Mid-May climatology places the average minimum around 15–17 °C, so traders are weighting the probability of near-normal conditions against small variations in cloud cover and wind that could nudge the reading a degree either way. No major frontal systems or anomalous high-pressure ridges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to the final 24-hour model runs and the precise timing of any sea-breeze influence from Tokyo Bay.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,080Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows Tokyo’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 16–18 °C, with the tight spread between those bins reflecting modest differences in expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow. Mid-May climatology places the average minimum around 15–17 °C, so traders are weighting the probability of near-normal conditions against small variations in cloud cover and wind that could nudge the reading a degree either way. No major frontal systems or anomalous high-pressure ridges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to the final 24-hour model runs and the precise timing of any sea-breeze influence from Tokyo Bay.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,080Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows Tokyo’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 16–18 °C, with the tight spread between those bins reflecting modest differences in expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow. Mid-May climatology places the average minimum around 15–17 °C, so traders are weighting the probability of near-normal conditions against small variations in cloud cover and wind that could nudge the reading a degree either way. No major frontal systems or anomalous high-pressure ridges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to the final 24-hour model runs and the precise timing of any sea-breeze influence from Tokyo Bay.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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