Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong cold front will deliver well below-average highs in Denver on May 18, with most guidance locking in a maximum near 45–50°F amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds. This positions the 61°F-or-below outcome at 99.5% implied probability because seasonal normals hover near 70°F and recent ensemble runs show little chance of significant warming. A modest northward shift in the upper-level trough or delayed frontal passage could allow readings to reach the low 60s, but such adjustments remain low-probability given the entrenched pattern and short lead time to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on May 18?
61°F or below 99.3%
62-63°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$11,889 Vol.
$11,889 Vol.
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
61°F or below 99.3%
62-63°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$11,889 Vol.
$11,889 Vol.
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong cold front will deliver well below-average highs in Denver on May 18, with most guidance locking in a maximum near 45–50°F amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds. This positions the 61°F-or-below outcome at 99.5% implied probability because seasonal normals hover near 70°F and recent ensemble runs show little chance of significant warming. A modest northward shift in the upper-level trough or delayed frontal passage could allow readings to reach the low 60s, but such adjustments remain low-probability given the entrenched pattern and short lead time to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan