Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,567 Vol.
$73,567 Vol.
May 13, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,567 Vol.
$73,567 Vol.
May 13, 2026
15°C or below
$1,107 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,086 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,817 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,955 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,879 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,338 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,934 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$11,909 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,314 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$10,116 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$73,567Tanggal Berakhir
May 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,567Tanggal Berakhir
May 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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