Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 33°C under mostly sunny skies, with minimums at 21°C, aligning with pre-day forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting peaks around 32–33°C amid an early-season heatwave. This data, corroborated by Hong Kong Observatory bulletins citing station measurements at standard sites like the Beijing Observatory, drives the market's 100% implied probability on "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on verified meteorological records as the day concludes post-sunset. Realistic challenges would require rare official revisions from discrepant urban heat island readings or data errors, though model consensus and historical May baselines (averaging 26°C highs) reinforce the outcome's solidity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on May 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$81,658 Vol.
$81,658 Vol.
May 14, 2026
33°C or below
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$81,658 Vol.
$81,658 Vol.
May 14, 2026
33°C or below
$14,765 Vol.
100%
34°C
$9,617 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$13,619 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$6,423 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$6,254 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$5,695 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$4,277 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$2,970 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$1,852 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,998 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$13,198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 33°C under mostly sunny skies, with minimums at 21°C, aligning with pre-day forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting peaks around 32–33°C amid an early-season heatwave. This data, corroborated by Hong Kong Observatory bulletins citing station measurements at standard sites like the Beijing Observatory, drives the market's 100% implied probability on "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on verified meteorological records as the day concludes post-sunset. Realistic challenges would require rare official revisions from discrepant urban heat island readings or data errors, though model consensus and historical May baselines (averaging 26°C highs) reinforce the outcome's solidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$81,658Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 33°C under mostly sunny skies, with minimums at 21°C, aligning with pre-day forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting peaks around 32–33°C amid an early-season heatwave. This data, corroborated by Hong Kong Observatory bulletins citing station measurements at standard sites like the Beijing Observatory, drives the market's 100% implied probability on "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on verified meteorological records as the day concludes post-sunset. Realistic challenges would require rare official revisions from discrepant urban heat island readings or data errors, though model consensus and historical May baselines (averaging 26°C highs) reinforce the outcome's solidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,658Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 33°C under mostly sunny skies, with minimums at 21°C, aligning with pre-day forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting peaks around 32–33°C amid an early-season heatwave. This data, corroborated by Hong Kong Observatory bulletins citing station measurements at standard sites like the Beijing Observatory, drives the market's 100% implied probability on "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on verified meteorological records as the day concludes post-sunset. Realistic challenges would require rare official revisions from discrepant urban heat island readings or data errors, though model consensus and historical May baselines (averaging 26°C highs) reinforce the outcome's solidity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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