Latest forecast guidance from the South African Weather Service points to a daytime maximum of 21°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by light northerly flow and partial afternoon clearing that permits modest solar heating without strong advection of warmer air. This aligns closely with the current climatological average high of 19–21°C for mid-May, when the subtropical high-pressure ridge typically limits rapid warming over the Cape Peninsula. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with only modest upside risk if winds shift easterly and allow brief katabatic warming, or downside if residual cloud cover from a departing frontal system persists. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Cape Town International Airport, with traders weighting the 21°C outcome most heavily given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 56%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 4.4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
20%
21°C
56%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 56%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 4.4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
20%
21°C
56%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from the South African Weather Service points to a daytime maximum of 21°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by light northerly flow and partial afternoon clearing that permits modest solar heating without strong advection of warmer air. This aligns closely with the current climatological average high of 19–21°C for mid-May, when the subtropical high-pressure ridge typically limits rapid warming over the Cape Peninsula. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with only modest upside risk if winds shift easterly and allow brief katabatic warming, or downside if residual cloud cover from a departing frontal system persists. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Cape Town International Airport, with traders weighting the 21°C outcome most heavily given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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