Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service show mild autumn conditions returning to Cape Town after a mid-May cold front brought gale-force winds and heavy rainfall through May 12. Strengthening high pressure is expected to deliver clearer skies and light northeasterly winds tomorrow, supporting daytime warming to around 20–21 °C at official stations such as Cape Town International Airport. These values sit slightly above the mid-May climatological mean of 18–19 °C, with model ensembles showing limited spread due to stable steering patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C and 21 °C therefore reflects the current consensus on post-frontal recovery and modest solar heating before any new frontal system arrives later in the week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 47%
21°C 30%
19°C 20%
22°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
47%
21°C
30%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
21°C 30%
19°C 20%
22°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
47%
21°C
30%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service show mild autumn conditions returning to Cape Town after a mid-May cold front brought gale-force winds and heavy rainfall through May 12. Strengthening high pressure is expected to deliver clearer skies and light northeasterly winds tomorrow, supporting daytime warming to around 20–21 °C at official stations such as Cape Town International Airport. These values sit slightly above the mid-May climatological mean of 18–19 °C, with model ensembles showing limited spread due to stable steering patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C and 21 °C therefore reflects the current consensus on post-frontal recovery and modest solar heating before any new frontal system arrives later in the week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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