Current forecast guidance indicates Shanghai’s minimum temperature on May 17 will most likely settle between 18 °C and 19 °C, the two outcomes that together hold nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Mid-May climatology features weakening high pressure and limited cold-air advection, producing modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble model runs show narrow temperature spreads because no frontal passages or significant moisture are expected to alter boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. Traders are watching any late adjustments to dew-point forecasts or wind speeds that could shift the low by one degree, as even small changes in these variables determine whether the reading registers at 18 °C or 19 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 37%
18°C 32%
20°C 22%
17°C 6.6%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
18%
18°C
32%
19°C
37%
20°C
17%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
18°C 32%
20°C 22%
17°C 6.6%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$276 Vol.
1%
16°C
$70 Vol.
1%
17°C
$81 Vol.
18%
18°C
$43 Vol.
32%
19°C
$92 Vol.
37%
20°C
$45 Vol.
17%
21°C
$147 Vol.
4%
22°C
$98 Vol.
1%
23°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$480 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance indicates Shanghai’s minimum temperature on May 17 will most likely settle between 18 °C and 19 °C, the two outcomes that together hold nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Mid-May climatology features weakening high pressure and limited cold-air advection, producing modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble model runs show narrow temperature spreads because no frontal passages or significant moisture are expected to alter boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. Traders are watching any late adjustments to dew-point forecasts or wind speeds that could shift the low by one degree, as even small changes in these variables determine whether the reading registers at 18 °C or 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,730Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance indicates Shanghai’s minimum temperature on May 17 will most likely settle between 18 °C and 19 °C, the two outcomes that together hold nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Mid-May climatology features weakening high pressure and limited cold-air advection, producing modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble model runs show narrow temperature spreads because no frontal passages or significant moisture are expected to alter boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. Traders are watching any late adjustments to dew-point forecasts or wind speeds that could shift the low by one degree, as even small changes in these variables determine whether the reading registers at 18 °C or 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,730Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast guidance indicates Shanghai’s minimum temperature on May 17 will most likely settle between 18 °C and 19 °C, the two outcomes that together hold nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Mid-May climatology features weakening high pressure and limited cold-air advection, producing modest overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble model runs show narrow temperature spreads because no frontal passages or significant moisture are expected to alter boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. Traders are watching any late adjustments to dew-point forecasts or wind speeds that could shift the low by one degree, as even small changes in these variables determine whether the reading registers at 18 °C or 19 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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