Central Weather Administration forecasts a high of 25°C in Taipei on May 15 amid persistent cloudy conditions and a 20% chance of showers, capping solar heating and pulling trader consensus toward mid-20s outcomes, yet market-implied odds favor 27°C at 25.5% due to historical May averages near 28°C at Songshan Airport station and ensemble model hints of afternoon clearing. Close probabilities across 26–29°C reflect uncertainty in cloud persistence—thicker overcast could limit peaks to 26°C via reduced insolation, while breaks might enable 28–29°C via stronger diurnal warming and urban heat effects. Sea breezes may moderate coastal temps; watch hourly CWA updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
$13,735 Vol.
$13,735 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
$13,735 Vol.
$13,735 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration forecasts a high of 25°C in Taipei on May 15 amid persistent cloudy conditions and a 20% chance of showers, capping solar heating and pulling trader consensus toward mid-20s outcomes, yet market-implied odds favor 27°C at 25.5% due to historical May averages near 28°C at Songshan Airport station and ensemble model hints of afternoon clearing. Close probabilities across 26–29°C reflect uncertainty in cloud persistence—thicker overcast could limit peaks to 26°C via reduced insolation, while breaks might enable 28–29°C via stronger diurnal warming and urban heat effects. Sea breezes may moderate coastal temps; watch hourly CWA updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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