Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 16–18°C for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, which show means near 16°C amid spread from 14–18°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from Baltic Sea moisture potentially capping diurnal heating, versus southerly winds under a developing high-pressure ridge favoring mild advection and afternoon peaks. Finnish Meteorological Institute short-range guidance aligns with 15–17°C, consistent with May climatology (average high ~15°C) but above recent cool days (~9°C). New 12Z model runs today could refine odds ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
17°C 38%
16°C 31.1%
18°C 21%
15°C 7.8%
$18,582 Vol.
$18,582 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
31%
17°C
38%
18°C
21%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 38%
16°C 31.1%
18°C 21%
15°C 7.8%
$18,582 Vol.
$18,582 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
31%
17°C
38%
18°C
21%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 16–18°C for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, which show means near 16°C amid spread from 14–18°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from Baltic Sea moisture potentially capping diurnal heating, versus southerly winds under a developing high-pressure ridge favoring mild advection and afternoon peaks. Finnish Meteorological Institute short-range guidance aligns with 15–17°C, consistent with May climatology (average high ~15°C) but above recent cool days (~9°C). New 12Z model runs today could refine odds ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan