Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high temperature in Toronto today at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (28%) and 13°C (21%), driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast of cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h behind a recent cold frontal passage. Morning observations near 8°C underscore post-frontal cooling, while persistent stratus clouds and enhanced boundary-layer mixing limit solar insolation and peak afternoon heating, creating razor-thin differentiation among these outcomes. Official highs from Toronto Pearson International Airport typically resolve via maximum screen-level readings; hourly updates through late afternoon will clarify if brief cloud breaks allow warmer readings near 14°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
11°C 35%
12°C 28%
13°C 21%
10°C 11.7%
$35,629 Vol.
$35,629 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
35%
12°C
28%
13°C
21%
14°C or higher
8%
11°C 35%
12°C 28%
13°C 21%
10°C 11.7%
$35,629 Vol.
$35,629 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C
$1,530 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,986 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,908 Vol.
2%
10°C
$3,563 Vol.
12%
11°C
$3,269 Vol.
35%
12°C
$2,254 Vol.
28%
13°C
$2,687 Vol.
21%
14°C or higher
$5,115 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high temperature in Toronto today at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (28%) and 13°C (21%), driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast of cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h behind a recent cold frontal passage. Morning observations near 8°C underscore post-frontal cooling, while persistent stratus clouds and enhanced boundary-layer mixing limit solar insolation and peak afternoon heating, creating razor-thin differentiation among these outcomes. Official highs from Toronto Pearson International Airport typically resolve via maximum screen-level readings; hourly updates through late afternoon will clarify if brief cloud breaks allow warmer readings near 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$35,629Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high temperature in Toronto today at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (28%) and 13°C (21%), driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast of cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h behind a recent cold frontal passage. Morning observations near 8°C underscore post-frontal cooling, while persistent stratus clouds and enhanced boundary-layer mixing limit solar insolation and peak afternoon heating, creating razor-thin differentiation among these outcomes. Official highs from Toronto Pearson International Airport typically resolve via maximum screen-level readings; hourly updates through late afternoon will clarify if brief cloud breaks allow warmer readings near 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,629Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high temperature in Toronto today at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (28%) and 13°C (21%), driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast of cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h behind a recent cold frontal passage. Morning observations near 8°C underscore post-frontal cooling, while persistent stratus clouds and enhanced boundary-layer mixing limit solar insolation and peak afternoon heating, creating razor-thin differentiation among these outcomes. Official highs from Toronto Pearson International Airport typically resolve via maximum screen-level readings; hourly updates through late afternoon will clarify if brief cloud breaks allow warmer readings near 14°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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