The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued early May 15, points to a maximum temperature of around 22°C in Tokyo under cloudy skies clearing later, with near-zero precipitation odds and light winds limiting convective heating—driving trader consensus to 98.2% on this outcome and aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 23.8°C. Current observations from central stations like Otemachi reflect morning coolness in the mid-teens, following yesterday's 25°C high amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Kanto. This positioning reflects model agreement on subdued insolation, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting solar heating to 23–24°C or southerly gusts enhancing advection; monitor JMA hourly updates through peak afternoon hours for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
22°C 98.8%
23°C 1.5%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$106,596 Vol.
$106,596 Vol.
May 15, 2026
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.8%
23°C 1.5%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$106,596 Vol.
$106,596 Vol.
May 15, 2026
22°C
$16,205 Vol.
99%
23°C
$10,250 Vol.
1%
24°C
$12,845 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,553 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,576 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued early May 15, points to a maximum temperature of around 22°C in Tokyo under cloudy skies clearing later, with near-zero precipitation odds and light winds limiting convective heating—driving trader consensus to 98.2% on this outcome and aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 23.8°C. Current observations from central stations like Otemachi reflect morning coolness in the mid-teens, following yesterday's 25°C high amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Kanto. This positioning reflects model agreement on subdued insolation, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting solar heating to 23–24°C or southerly gusts enhancing advection; monitor JMA hourly updates through peak afternoon hours for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$106,596Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued early May 15, points to a maximum temperature of around 22°C in Tokyo under cloudy skies clearing later, with near-zero precipitation odds and light winds limiting convective heating—driving trader consensus to 98.2% on this outcome and aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 23.8°C. Current observations from central stations like Otemachi reflect morning coolness in the mid-teens, following yesterday's 25°C high amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Kanto. This positioning reflects model agreement on subdued insolation, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting solar heating to 23–24°C or southerly gusts enhancing advection; monitor JMA hourly updates through peak afternoon hours for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,596Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued early May 15, points to a maximum temperature of around 22°C in Tokyo under cloudy skies clearing later, with near-zero precipitation odds and light winds limiting convective heating—driving trader consensus to 98.2% on this outcome and aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 23.8°C. Current observations from central stations like Otemachi reflect morning coolness in the mid-teens, following yesterday's 25°C high amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Kanto. This positioning reflects model agreement on subdued insolation, though realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting solar heating to 23–24°C or southerly gusts enhancing advection; monitor JMA hourly updates through peak afternoon hours for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan