Latest forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models like those reflected in TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 28-29°C for May 15 amid thundershowers and overcast skies, driving the tight trader consensus across 28°C (28.5%), 29°C (30.5%), and 30°C or higher (33.0%) outcomes. In Shenzhen's humid subtropical monsoon climate, frequent convective showers from warming South China Sea air masses reduce solar insolation and provide evaporative cooling, capping peaks, while urban heat island effects and potential midday cloud breaks could push temperatures upward. High precipitation odds (90-100%) over the past 24 hours, including today's expected 31°C high under thunderstorms, underscore daily variability around the May climatological average of 29°C. Hourly updates from official Bao'an International Airport observations will clarify differentiation before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 15?
30°C or higher 32%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 9%
$19,179 Vol.
$19,179 Vol.
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
32%
30°C or higher 32%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 9%
$19,179 Vol.
$19,179 Vol.
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models like those reflected in TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 28-29°C for May 15 amid thundershowers and overcast skies, driving the tight trader consensus across 28°C (28.5%), 29°C (30.5%), and 30°C or higher (33.0%) outcomes. In Shenzhen's humid subtropical monsoon climate, frequent convective showers from warming South China Sea air masses reduce solar insolation and provide evaporative cooling, capping peaks, while urban heat island effects and potential midday cloud breaks could push temperatures upward. High precipitation odds (90-100%) over the past 24 hours, including today's expected 31°C high under thunderstorms, underscore daily variability around the May climatological average of 29°C. Hourly updates from official Bao'an International Airport observations will clarify differentiation before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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