Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by a post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This places the peak below the May climatological average of 18–19°C following recent warmer conditions near 22°C. Ensemble agreement within a narrow 17–19°C range underpins the market’s near-certain outcome for 18°C. Minor upward deviations remain possible if afternoon solar insolation increases due to clearing skies or if urban heat-island effects at official stations elevate readings by 1–2°C before evening resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,728 Vol.
$46,728 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,728 Vol.
$46,728 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by a post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This places the peak below the May climatological average of 18–19°C following recent warmer conditions near 22°C. Ensemble agreement within a narrow 17–19°C range underpins the market’s near-certain outcome for 18°C. Minor upward deviations remain possible if afternoon solar insolation increases due to clearing skies or if urban heat-island effects at official stations elevate readings by 1–2°C before evening resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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