Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models point to a precise nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, driven by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This convergence has pushed the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology places typical Seoul lows between 12°C and 16°C, so the projected value sits near historical averages for the transitional spring period. With resolution imminent, traders view the stable atmospheric setup as decisive. Still, an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind patterns, or final model adjustments could realistically nudge the observed low by one degree in either direction.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,287 Vol.
$44,287 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,287 Vol.
$44,287 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$2,422 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,053 Vol.
100%
15°C
$17,751 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,605 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,915 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,090 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,928 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models point to a precise nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, driven by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This convergence has pushed the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology places typical Seoul lows between 12°C and 16°C, so the projected value sits near historical averages for the transitional spring period. With resolution imminent, traders view the stable atmospheric setup as decisive. Still, an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind patterns, or final model adjustments could realistically nudge the observed low by one degree in either direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$44,287Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models point to a precise nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, driven by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This convergence has pushed the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology places typical Seoul lows between 12°C and 16°C, so the projected value sits near historical averages for the transitional spring period. With resolution imminent, traders view the stable atmospheric setup as decisive. Still, an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind patterns, or final model adjustments could realistically nudge the observed low by one degree in either direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,287Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models point to a precise nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, driven by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This convergence has pushed the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 99 percent. Mid-May climatology places typical Seoul lows between 12°C and 16°C, so the projected value sits near historical averages for the transitional spring period. With resolution imminent, traders view the stable atmospheric setup as decisive. Still, an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind patterns, or final model adjustments could realistically nudge the observed low by one degree in either direction.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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