Recent forecast consensus from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and global ensembles positions Milan’s May 17 maximum near 21–22 °C, just below the mid-May climatological average of 22 °C. Moderate southerly flow under a building high-pressure ridge is expected to support afternoon warming, yet lingering morning cloud cover and light northerly advection should cap peak readings. ECMWF guidance favors a 21 °C ceiling with limited insolation, while GFS runs allow brief clearing that could push toward 22 °C; the narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official hourly maximum recorded at Milano Linate, with traders monitoring the 12–16 UTC window for any last-minute model adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 37%
22°C 33%
20°C 16%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
16%
21°C
37%
22°C
33%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
22°C 33%
20°C 16%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$762 Vol.
1%
19°C
$541 Vol.
3%
20°C
$810 Vol.
16%
21°C
$650 Vol.
37%
22°C
$590 Vol.
33%
23°C
$571 Vol.
8%
24°C
$566 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$485 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and global ensembles positions Milan’s May 17 maximum near 21–22 °C, just below the mid-May climatological average of 22 °C. Moderate southerly flow under a building high-pressure ridge is expected to support afternoon warming, yet lingering morning cloud cover and light northerly advection should cap peak readings. ECMWF guidance favors a 21 °C ceiling with limited insolation, while GFS runs allow brief clearing that could push toward 22 °C; the narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official hourly maximum recorded at Milano Linate, with traders monitoring the 12–16 UTC window for any last-minute model adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,584Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and global ensembles positions Milan’s May 17 maximum near 21–22 °C, just below the mid-May climatological average of 22 °C. Moderate southerly flow under a building high-pressure ridge is expected to support afternoon warming, yet lingering morning cloud cover and light northerly advection should cap peak readings. ECMWF guidance favors a 21 °C ceiling with limited insolation, while GFS runs allow brief clearing that could push toward 22 °C; the narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official hourly maximum recorded at Milano Linate, with traders monitoring the 12–16 UTC window for any last-minute model adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,584Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent forecast consensus from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and global ensembles positions Milan’s May 17 maximum near 21–22 °C, just below the mid-May climatological average of 22 °C. Moderate southerly flow under a building high-pressure ridge is expected to support afternoon warming, yet lingering morning cloud cover and light northerly advection should cap peak readings. ECMWF guidance favors a 21 °C ceiling with limited insolation, while GFS runs allow brief clearing that could push toward 22 °C; the narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Resolution will hinge on the official hourly maximum recorded at Milano Linate, with traders monitoring the 12–16 UTC window for any last-minute model adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan